Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.642753 0.736247 0.837761 0.956063 1.090033 1.236932 1.410107
2025-01-26 0.516442 0.646806 0.800402 0.994258 1.231921 1.513286 1.871144
2025-02-02 0.430219 0.584643 0.780615 1.046404 1.396202 1.839432 2.442073
2025-02-09 0.350231 0.513617 0.735766 1.057710 1.509786 2.119007 2.998671
2025-02-16 0.286330 0.450847 0.689328 1.056732 1.604187 2.384416 3.573876
2025-02-23 0.238088 0.400596 0.650596 1.058102 1.699240 2.660749 4.200437
2025-03-02 0.199322 0.356957 0.613344 1.053798 1.782507 2.927754 4.846014
2025-03-09 0.172419 0.327244 0.592398 1.070514 1.898848 3.257454 5.627859
2025-03-16 0.146326 0.293706 0.558924 1.059782 1.966331 3.514408 6.321057
2025-03-23 0.130154 0.275129 0.548199 1.086221 2.099704 3.894936 7.264635
2025-03-30 0.112029 0.249215 0.519456 1.074436 2.161265 4.155915 8.027448
2025-04-06 0.099469 0.232147 0.504707 1.086499 2.267650 4.507616 8.991479
2025-04-13 0.084789 0.208072 0.472657 1.060542 2.299357 4.729265 9.749687
2025-04-20 0.078004 0.200353 0.473537 1.102882 2.474147 5.246172 11.137191
2025-04-27 0.073059 0.195997 0.481025 1.160532 2.688528 5.866161 12.799930
2025-05-04 0.065561 0.183914 0.469087 1.173092 2.807676 6.305817 14.145095
2025-05-11 0.058233 0.170761 0.452420 1.172073 2.896308 6.691182 15.419259
2025-05-18 0.052020 0.159271 0.437829 1.173621 2.990688 7.098933 16.785723
2025-05-25 0.046309 0.147958 0.421743 1.168897 3.069373 7.480238 18.134822
2025-06-01 0.042323 0.140777 0.415196 1.187348 3.206457 8.008494 19.871410
2025-06-08 0.037600 0.130357 0.398134 1.175522 3.266343 8.363716 21.245858
2025-06-15 0.034913 0.125713 0.396356 1.204687 3.434817 8.994788 23.336628
2025-06-22 0.031124 0.116650 0.380322 1.191694 3.490780 9.358224 24.819757